Even though last week Alan Greenspan reiterated his "33% chance" of a US recession, the market itself continues to weigh in that the chances are far less.
Since recession talk began ramping up in summer 2006, the market has consistently been sending a very different message. For example, since the July low, the NASDAQ is now up an impressive 27%. Below are two charts that reinforce the message of the markets, and place recession odds far lower than even 33%.
It's only an intraday print, but the peskier 3-month/10-year Yield Curve as now back at even, and Cyclicals don't rally in the face of bona fide recession risk.